Browsing by Author "Oktaviani, Rina"

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    Integrasi Perdagangan dan Dinamika Ekspor Indonesia ke Timur Tengah (Studi Kasus: Turki, Tunisia, dan Maroko)
    (Pusat Sosial Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pertanian, 2016-09-19) Oktaviani, Rina; Widyastutik, nFN; Novianti, Tanti
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    Kontribusi Indonesia dalam Perdagangan Beras Internasional Peluang dan Tantangan Pada Kondisi Krisis Pangan
    (Balai Besar Penelitian Tanaman Padi, 2010-11-18) Oktaviani, Rina; Amaliah, Syarifah
    Abstract Indonesian Contribution on International Rice Trade: Opportunity and Challenge in Food Crisis. The fluctuation of international commodity price, which is predicted to be persistent in the medium run, will give opportunity to increase rice export. The impact of international commodity price fluctuations during 2005-2008 to Indonesian rise sector performance was conducted by Computable General Equilibrium model for Indonesia. High price incentive was responded by increasing rice export. The previous study showed that sustainable availability of rice was relatively adequate in both national and major regional levels in Indonesia. The impact of declining real household consumption was relatively small, so it would not harm food security on household level. On the other hand, the impact on of international price fluctuations to Indonesian macroeconomic performance is not beneficial, because of low level of adaptation of agricultural technology, insufficient investment on farming infrastructure, and low market intelligence of international rice consumer's preference. Abstrak Guncangan harga komoditas internasional sebagai pola baru pergerakan harga yang diprediksi persisten hingga jangka menengah telah memberikan peluang bagi peningkatan ekspor beras. Kuantifikasi dampak peningkatan harga komoditas internasional periode 2005-2008 dilakukan dengan menggunakan pendekatan model ekonomi keseimbangan umum (Computable General Equilibrium) terhadap performance keragaan beras. Transmisi insentif harga yang lebih tinggi direspons dengan prediksi peningkatan nilai ekspor. Studi literatur terdahulu menunjukkan bahwa sustainabilitas ketersediaan beras relatif "cukup" di tingkat nasional dan mayoritas regional di Indonesia. Dampak terhadap penurunan konsumsi riil rumahtangga pun relatif kecil, sehingga tidak terdeteksi kondisi kerawanan pangan. Meskipun demikian, performance makroekonomi Indonesia secara relatif belum dapat terangkat, karena karakterisasi peningkatan produksi yang tidak bertumpu pada perubahan teknologi, rendahnya investasi pada infrastruktur pertanian, dan rendahnya renda market intelligence mengenai preferensi konsumsen beras internasional.